Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Jonathan Kuminga

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 10.2 shots from the field per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.8 mark last year.
This matchup is a challenging one; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting team, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (102.3).
The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should boost opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 18.8 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 35.3% rate, Jonathan Kuminga's three-point efficiency has declined this year to 17.7%.
Among all players in the NBA, Jonathan Kuminga comes in at the 90th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.9 fouls per game while at home this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Warriors's poor 47.4% field goal percentage on the road measures as the 8th-fewest in the league since the start of last season.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

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