Jonathan Isaac Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Jonathan Isaac

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Isaac

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 5:04 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Isaac Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Isaac has made 57.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 23.4% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season on his home court.
The number of field goal attempts against Brook Lopez has been remarkably high (12.9 per game) when on the visiting team and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Orlando Magic will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most up-tempo pace away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
The Magic have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 56.3% mark, Jonathan Isaac's free-throw performance has increased this season to 71.8%.

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Orlando Magic's feeble 105.0 points per game at home settles in as the 3rd-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Magic.
The matchup against Brook Lopez is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game (7th percentile).

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