Jonathan Isaac Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Jonathan Isaac

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Isaac

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Isaac Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has shot 46.3% on shots from the field (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Suns, making this a difficult matchup.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to raise possessions for the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jonathan Isaac has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's sunk overall this season.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have attempted 19.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 34.7% clip, Jonathan Isaac's three-point proficiency has tailed off this year to 21.0%.
As it relates to offense, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 102.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Magic.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Suns (preserving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

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