Jonathan Isaac Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Jonathan Isaac

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Isaac

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 10:18 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Isaac Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 1.4 rate, Jonathan Isaac's shots from behind the three-point arc have increased this year to 2.5 per game.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged 44.3% on field goals (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, creating a hard matchup.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 10thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Compared to last year's 1.1 clip, Jonathan Isaac's number of free throw attempts has spiked this year to 2.5 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 34.7% clip, Jonathan Isaac's 3-point performance has tailed off this year to 18.1%.
Compared to last year's 0.5 rate, Jonathan Isaac's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 1.3.
In regard to scoring, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 111.5 points per game ranks 10th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (maintaining possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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