Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 28, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 8:28 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has posted 3.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games when playing at home, 0.6 higher than he's posted overall this season at home.
The Pelicans will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while at home this year.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.