Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 8:35 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 3.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive boards per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (95th percentile).
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Pelicans.
Jonas Valanciunas will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.