Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has compiled 3.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's compiled overall this season.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
The Pelicans have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has snagged 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (lengthening possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).
Jonas Valanciunas will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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