Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-129/+103).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Utah is a positive one; when the Jazz are at home, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (24.0).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the road team.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (highest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
Favors Under
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 3rdworst in in the league while playing on the road with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.