Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 66.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
The number of shot attempts from the field against Dereck Lively II has been very high (12.7 per game) when playing on the road and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Wizards are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
As a team, the Wizards have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line of late: 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games with 25.4 foul shot attempts per game.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 0.4 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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