Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 24, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 7:46 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas comes in at the 84th percentile for shooting efficiency while playing on the road with a phenomenal 54.6% rate this year.
As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's fantastic 112.8 points per game away from their home court places 7th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup with Chet Holmgren slots into just the 94th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs totaling a massive 15.6 points per game this year.
The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Chet Holmgren has been quite high (4.6 foul shot attempts per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 2.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 24.6% lower than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas measures in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The 6th-most sluggish pace road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 8thworst in in the NBA as the road team with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Jonas Valanciunas will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.