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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 60.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 24.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.5% more than he's converted overall this season.

Jonas Valanciunas figures to see a spike in production for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.

The clash with Jarrett Allen slots into the 7th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs scoring a mere 5.0 baskets per game this year when they are playing at home.

The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pelicans.

The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.8 free throws per game (10th percentile).

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