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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 54.1% of his shot attempts from the field without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.

This year, opposing clubs have shot 45.8% on field goals (4th-worst in the NBA) against the Rockets, resulting in a difficult matchup.

The number of shots from downtown sunk against Alperen Sengun has been very high (0.8 per game) when he is at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has snagged 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (lengthening possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).

This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a massive 26.9 free throws per game over the last 25 games (most in the league).

Jonas Valanciunas will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production for all stats.

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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