Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has made 51.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Relative to last season's 38.2% clip, Jonas Valanciunas's 3-point efficiency has increased this season to 47.7%.
This year, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged 54.8% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a good matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 12 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.3 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league while on their home court this year has been the Pelicans.
This year, opposing teams have captured 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (lengthening possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).
This year, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Jonas Valanciunas should suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats in light of being on the road in this contest.

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