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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 52.0% mark, Jonas Valanciunas's shooting ability has spiked this year to 59.3%.

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have brought down 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 33.1% rate, Jonas Valanciunas's three-point performance has regressed this season to 22.5%.

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.

The Pelicans rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year as it relates to three-pointers.

The matchup vs. San Antonio is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Spurs are playing at home, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 8th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.4).

Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, struggling to get to the foul line.

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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