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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Relative to last year's 52.0% mark, Jonas Valanciunas's shooting ability has spiked this year to 59.3%.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have brought down 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last season's 33.1% rate, Jonas Valanciunas's three-point performance has regressed this season to 22.5%.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has committed 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
  • The Pelicans rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year as it relates to three-pointers.
  • The matchup vs. San Antonio is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Spurs are playing at home, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 8th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.4).
  • Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, struggling to get to the foul line.

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