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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has made 60.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing at home.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Clippers are away from home, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (16.0).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home.

The Clippers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Clippers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has converted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.2 mark last season.

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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