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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 45.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's made from three overall this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 2.9 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (94th percentile).

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one; when the Nuggets are playing at home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (11.3).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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