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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/23/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 57.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 22.0% higher than he's made overall this year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
  • The Hornets have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Pelicans.
  • As a team, the New Orleans Pelicans have been among the best at getting to the free throw line: 10th-best in the league this year, tallying 24.6 foul shot attempts per game.
  • Jonas Valanciunas will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increases player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has attempted just 10.2 field goals per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 12.6 mark last year.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (94th percentile).
  • The matchup against the Hornets is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (0.7).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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