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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has posted 17.6 points per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 52.2% of his shots from the field while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 30.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of treys.

The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (11.3).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.

While on the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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