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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has posted 17.6 points per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has made 52.2% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Jonas Valanciunas has played 30.0 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have put up the 29th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (62.8%).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
  • The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pelicans.

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