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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has scored 17.6 points per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 52.2% of his field goals while at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jonas Valanciunas has played 30.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.

The matchup against the Magic is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (0.9).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.

On the road, the Magic have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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