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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 10.3 shots from the field per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 43.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 11.6% more than he's made from three over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a positive one for treys; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a massive 0.7 threes per game (90th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (95th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.8 free throws per game (17th percentile).

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