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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 13.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Mavericks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league while playing away from home this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for field goals; the other team have put up the 7th-lowest FG% in the league this year (48.0%).

The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one; when the Mavericks are playing at home, they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (14.3).

The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pelicans.

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