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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 24.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 more than he's averaged overall this year.

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a monstrous 20.7 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (94th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one; while playing on the road they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs since the start of last season (11.3).

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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