Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +375 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +350.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 66.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. Dereck Lively II is a good one for three-point shots; when Lively II is away from his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 47.2% of their shots from downtown (86th percentile).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Wizards are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Jonas Valanciunas will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has attempted 0.4 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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