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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-245).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -238 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -245.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The rate of three-point shots made against Chet Holmgren has been very high (34.4%) when he is at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (88th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 2.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 24.6% lower than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas is expected to see a decline in productivity across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

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