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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-303).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -286 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -303.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has played 30.0 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The matchup against the Mavericks is a positive one for threes; opposing starting Cs have compiled the 27th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%).
  • The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • On the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jonas Valanciunas will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonas Valanciunas has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
  • The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pelicans.

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