Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 22, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas is expected to see a decline in productivity across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

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