Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-195).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Pelicans.
The Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas is expected to see a spike in output in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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