Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-147/+113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 30.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.
While on the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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