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Johnny Davis

Johnny Davis Assists
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Johnny Davis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Johnny Davis has averaged 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 17.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Washington Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Johnny Davis will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Johnny Davis has put up 0.6 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile -- among the league's worst by this metric.

Johnny Davis has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.4 higher than he's been called for overall this season at home.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Wizards.

The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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