John Collins Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 6:10 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has posted a whopping 2.3 offensive rebounds per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.1 offensive rebounds per game last season.
The 7th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

John Collins has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics (lengthening possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).
John Collins will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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