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John Collins

John Collins Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards

 
 
 
John Collins Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • John Collins has tallied 5.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 93rd percentile.
  • John Collins has played 29.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Wizards have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Hawks.
  • The Wizards have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • John Collins will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually improves stat production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • John Collins has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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