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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/1/2025

Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magic

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 52.1% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 9.3% higher than he's made from three overall this year.

John Collins has averaged 29.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The Jazz rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last season's 75.7% rate, John Collins's foul-shot ability has spiked this season to 91.1%.

John Collins will likely see a spike in production for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, John Collins slots into the 90th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

When it comes to scoring, the Utah Jazz's feeble 108.8 points per game playing at home rates 5th-worst in the NBA this year.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have notched 15.1 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive production.

The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team.

The Jazz will likely see a decline in possessions today from facing the least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Orlando Magic).

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