John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has sunk 8.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's made overall this season while on his home court.
John Collins has sunk 42.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 14.0% higher than he's made from three overall this season while playing at home.
John Collins has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting PFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).
The 9th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.

Favors Under

John Collins has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
When it comes to shooting, the Utah Jazz's poor 105.4 points per game when playing at home places weakest in the league this year.
The Utah Jazz are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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