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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2024

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has successfully made 60.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 9.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

John Collins has successfully made 46.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 12.5% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.

The number of 3-point shots attempted against Dereck Lively II has been quite high (2.3 per game) when facing other starting Cs since the start of last season (85th percentile).

The Jazz have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.

The Jazz rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

With respect to shooting, the Jazz's subpar 105.7 points per game settles in as the lowest in the NBA this year.

The Utah Jazz will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 8th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).

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