John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 2:27 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has successfully made 79.2% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 43.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
The number of points tallied against Daniel Gafford has been very high (15.9 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The 5th-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Jazz.
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

John Collins has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

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