John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has made 5.7 shots made from the field per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
John Collins has successfully made 55.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 21.9% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
When matched up against opposing starting Cs, Naz Reid ranks in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 2.2 threes attempted against him per game this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games playing at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins lands in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
As a team, the Jazz have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe of late: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court, averaging a measly 16.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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