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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2024

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has made 5.6 buckets per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.

The Utah Jazz have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Utah Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

At home, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

John Collins has successfully made 93.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% more than he's made overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.

In regard to offense, the Utah Jazz's lackluster 107.2 points per game away from their home court places 7th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The number of points registered against Bam Adebayo has been very low (12.2 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year (the Heat).

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.7 foul shots per game (13th percentile).

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