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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has made 5.6 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.

The rate of shots sunk against Wendell Carter Jr. has been quite high (64.3%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Jazz have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Orlando Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.

When it comes to three-pointers, the Utah Jazz's feeble 34.7% rate of sunk threes while playing on the road comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

The Utah Jazz are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).

John Collins will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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