John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 2:13 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has sunk 59.0% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.0% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

John Collins has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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