John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has successfully made 58.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 5.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 14.4 field goal attempts per game (26th-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should raise possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

John Collins has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Jazz have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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