John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 11:50 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, John Collins measures in the 76th percentile, totaling a colossal 13.8 points per game this year.
John Collins has successfully made 59.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 13thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has secured 9.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

John Collins has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The rate of shots sunk against Kevon Looney has been very low (50.1%) when he is away from his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs this year (4th percentile).