John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has converted 63.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 13.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
The number of points posted against Thaddeus Young has been very high (17.5 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to boost possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, John Collins ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
In regard to shooting, the Jazz's poor 46.5% field goal percentage rates 9th-weakest in the league this year.
Over the last 5 games, the other team has totaled 39.2 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Raptors, labeling this as a positive matchup.