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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the 76ers is a difficult one for scoring; the other team has put up the lowest field goal rate in the league over the last 15 games (45.6%).

The matchup vs. Paul Reed is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Reed is playing at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (93rd percentile).

The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.

The Utah Jazz are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the 76ers).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 12thbest in in the league while playing away from home with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has missed 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range overall this season.

Among all players in the NBA, John Collins measures in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.

The Utah Jazz have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (lengthening possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Paul Reed has been quite low this year (2.7 free throws per game when they are on their home court: 11th percentile).

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