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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Collins has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.4% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (85th percentile).

The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 11th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.4).

Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have come down with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).

John Collins figures to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats in light of being on the road in this game.

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