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John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -122.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, John Collins rates in the 75th percentile for field goals converted without the home court advantage, registering a colossal 5.3 per game this year.The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Jazz.The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).The San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).John Collins has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the league, John Collins ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.8 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.The Jazz check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.The matchup against San Antonio is a challenging one; when the Spurs are playing at home, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, their opposition has attempted 26.4 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.John Collins will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.
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