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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz

 
 
 
John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • John Collins has successfully made 5.4 buckets per game this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Utah Jazz.
  • The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • On their home court, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • John Collins has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
  • In regard to offense, the Jazz's subpar 106.9 points per game when playing on the road measures as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
  • The number of treys scored against Marvin Bagley III has been very low (0.3 per game) when he is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (17th percentile).
  • John Collins will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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