John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs LA Clippers · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has played 30.4 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 14thbest in in the league while playing at home with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Clippers is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 free throws per game this year (22nd-most in the league).
John Collins should see a rise in effectiveness across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.
With respect to offense, the Jazz's unimpressive 111.3 points per game without the home court advantage comes in as the 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the LA Clippers is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 12th-lowest three rate in the league this year (27.9%).
The Jazz have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Utah Jazz.

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