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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 50.2% clip, John Collins's scoring performance has spiked this year to 57.3%.

The Jazz have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 18 games away from home.

The Jazz rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins slots into the 87th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.9 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's subpar 106.0 points per game when playing at home measures as the worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Minnesota is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves are at home, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (8.0).

Away from their home court, the Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Collins has made a mere 56.6% of his free throws this year, quite a bit less than his 81.0 mark last year.

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