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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 26.8% rate, John Collins's three-point efficiency has jumped this year to 43.0%.

John Collins has averaged 31.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Jazz will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the New Orleans Pelicans).

The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 7.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Pelicans (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, John Collins ranks in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.3 fouls per game on his home court this year.

The Jazz rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have notched 14.5 points per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive production.

John Collins has missed 0.7 foul shots per game away from home this year, putting him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 76th percentile for misses on the road.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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